Quantifying permafrost thaw

Regions: North Slave Region

Tags: physical sciences, permafrost, climate change

Principal Investigator: Gruber, Stephan (8)
Licence Number: 15995
Organization: Carleton University
Licensed Year(s): 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Issued: Dec 16, 2016

Objective(s): To understand better how permafrost differs in temperature and chemical/physical characteristics from place to place.

Project Description: The Objectives of this research are to: 1) understand better how permafrost differs in temperature and chemical/physical characteristics from place to place; 2) understand how these different types of permafrost respond to change (climate/disturbance); and, 3) understand which future changes in permafrost are likely and which are less likely based on computer simulations. The researcher will take high-quality measurements of three selected regions (forest, tundra, possible one site in transition and randomly place 25-50 measurement sites of about 10m by 10m in each region. At each site, ground temperatures will be measured in several locations and describe and sample ground conditions (topography, vegetation, soil). The research team will analyse measurements statistically of variation within each site (topography, temperature, physical/chemical characteristics). The team will also analyze how ground conditions drive permafrost conditions and commonalities and differences between regions. Computer simulations will be evaluated with field measurements using computer models to predict permafrost properties and their changes, and compare results with field measurements. Differences between simulation and field measurement will be analyzed to identify settings where models are good enough to inform decisions and where models need further research and development. The research team will take advantage of other permafrost-related projects in the region (in collaboration with the Geoscience Office and the Geological Survey of Canada). Access will be very low impact and rely on existing camps, helicopters, and in winter, snow machine. The field crew will not disturb wildlife and take care to avoid migrating caribou. The instrumentation involves very small battery driven data loggers (about 15 cm in length) that will be concealed at ground level in an unobtrusive container. In order to be effective, the site installations must have negligible impact to the permafrost, soils and surrounding vegetation. Some stations measure air temperature, but most will leave no visible trace on the ground surface. The research team have an ongoing communication with Northern collaborators and will further strengthen the link with the Geoscience Office and the Department of Environment and Natural Resources. The team will give regular presentations at the Yellowknife Geoscience Forum. The fieldwork for this study will be conducted from July 15, 2017 to September 15, 2017.